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Announcement
Announcement
Climate risk in agriculture over different agro-climatic zones of India

Student name: Ms Janhavi Bhujabal
Guide: Dr Anand Madhukar
Year of completion: 2023
Host Organisation: The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI), New Delhi
Supervisor (Host Organisation): Mr Santosh Kumar Muriki
Abstract:

The interaction between climate change and agriculture has long become the need of the century, the decade, the year and the hour. Due to its far-reaching consequences on societal and ecological well-being, it is necessary to better understand how climate change has impacted different parameters of weather and climate over the course of history and how it will continue to do so in the near and far future based on current levels of triggers of global warming like anthropogenic GHG emissions. The study conducted focused on understanding the differential impacts of climate change and emerging climate risk in the selected agro-climatic zones of Upper Gangetic Plains and The Southern plateau and hills region which are agro-economically significant regions. Crops like rice and wheat are staple for Indian households and hold importance in terms of global food security therefore future climate risk in the yield of such crops and hindrance to productivity is a study of necessity. Historical analysis was conducted by studying spatial trends of base and extreme climate indices (precipitation and temperature) in the period of 1971-2020 and the same was extended to future analysis for the period 2025-2050 as well. Resultant conclusions were drawn based on deviation from normal values obtained after study of base and extreme climate indices which was in turn based on warming climate character and its subsequent impact on agriculture. Understanding of differential climate risk of different Agro-Climatic Zones can help in the investigation of climatic variability across various Agro-Climatic Zones which can aid in the creation of climate adaptation strategies tailored to each location's specific climate risks and vulnerabilities and would further the advancements of policy initiatives and recommendations in a warmer future.

Keywords: Agro-Climatic Zones, Climate Change, Climate Indices, Climate Variability and Indian Agriculture, Climate Modelling Projections for India.