Analysis of impacts of climate change and recommendations for planned adaptations
Student name: Mr Gilmore Frederick G. Momin
Guide: Dr Kamna Sachdeva
Year of completion: 2013
Host Organisation: Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA)
Supervisor (Host Organisation): Dr P. K. Singh
Abstract: There is still insufficient knowledge on adaptation and adaptive capacity on account of which
strategies to adapt to climate change cannot be planned effectively. This study has documented a
case of climate induced impacts on rural livelihoods. It has employed the use of fuzzy cognitive
mapping in order to better understand the dynamics of the system by incorporating ideas and
concepts which could not be integrated into conventional models. This study has combined fuzzy
cognitive mapping with sustainable livelihood approach (SLA) to present a better view on
climate change impacts on the various asset classes and with a better platform to address the
issues effectively.
The area chosen for this study is the Udaipur district of Rajasthan. It is in a hot semi-arid agroclimatic
zone. Instances of drought have been reported in this district and issues like water
scarcity is one of the major problems encountered in the region. The villages that have been
surveyed belong to two tehsils namely: Gogunda and Jahrol situated on the western part of the
district. The people interviewed were all marginal scale farmers with less than 2.5 acres of
landholding. Another focus of this study is the recommendation for planned adaptations. The
adaptation options have been identified through an exhaustive literature review for appropriate
adaptation options in semi-arid regions and evaluated using Score Card method.
Keywords:Adaptation, climate change, fuzzy cognitive mapping, livelihood, recommendations
